Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates
This paper studies how the monetary policy regime affects the relative importance of nominal exchange rates and inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about countries with floating exchange rates where monetary policy controls inflation using a short-term interest rate. First, the current real exchange rate predicts future changes in the ...
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Empirical evidence presented in this paper shows that the predictability of inflation at long horizons varies considerably across countries. Both simple theory and empirical evidence suggest that the crucial factor is the extent to which systematic monetary policy succeeds in stabilising the incipient unit root in inflation. The mechanism by which it does this appears however to be complicated ...
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Working papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded official Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views stated herein are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank...
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The Bernanke-Blinder credit-view model is expanded to encompass a small, open economy with fixed exchange rates. In contrast to conventional wisdom and traditional models, monetary policy is resurrected as a stabilization tool. Further, various financial sector shocks are shown to have real aggregate demand effects. We show that independent monetary policy actions can ha ve substantive impacts ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Review of Economic Studies
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0034-6527,1467-937X
DOI: 10.1093/restud/rdaa024